Monday, February 8, 2010
Steven Maviglio

As the "Anybody But Brown and Newsom" Voices Get Louder, Here Are Some Alternatives

July 28, 2009 @ 6:47 AM
Steven Maviglio

With the Governor signing the budget today, it's never become clearer just how important it is to elect a Democrat in 2010. Democrats are aching to occupy the horseshoe, much like they way they were after eight years of the Wilson governorship. And it won't be easy: the GOP opponent, no matter how scarred from an ugly primary, will be well-funded and not from the crazy wing of the GOP.

Perhaps that's why there appears to be growing dissatisfaction among many activists and rank-and-file Dems when forced to choose between the yet unannounced gubernatorial wannabe AG Jerry Brown and San Francisco Mayor Gavin Newsom (who jettisoned his well-respected consultant Eric Jaye yesterday). Both are strong candidates, but each has his own set of negatives that Republicans will exploit in every way possible.

With Mayor Villaraigosa out of the picture and John Garamendi running for Congress, the list of candidates that can muster the support (and money) to the race is limited. But Brown is still running his campaign out of his basement, and Newsom hasn't caught fire (though his burn rate on his cash is high). Anything is possible.

Here are a few potentials out there that could make the Democratic race more interesting.

Bill Lockyer --  Loved by rank-and-file and activist Dems, he's got name ID and millions in a bank account that's gathering dust. Also on the plus side, he actually knows how the Legislature functions. After Arnold's amateur hour term of office, voters will be looking for experience and competence. Lockyer fits the bill. And from his comments during the budget debate which irked Capitol Democrats, it appears he's itching to be sitting at the head of the Big 5 table.

Jackie Speier -- The rookie Congresswoman would be a breath of fresh air to the race. Speier has a compelling personal story and a solid Bay Area base. She ruffled feathers of the special interests during her time in Sacramento but got results. She's got some DC experience now too (helpful in the $ department and tapping federal dollars). With Barbara Boxer on the ticket (along with Meg Whitman and Carly Fiorina), having Speier in the lineup would be a very good thing for Dems. Can she raise what she needs to win the primary? Possibly. She's popular among the netroots and has valuable D.C. connections.

Laura Chick -- Her profile position as the Queen of Stimulus Dollars gives her a platform to run. And she'd be the only candidate from LA in the primary or the general election from either party. She's not of Sacramento (a good thing) and manages to rack up lots of positive press clips. On the downside, she's a virtual unknown to party activists. And her coziness with Gov. Schwarzenegger could prove lethal in a Democratic primary.

Jack O'Connell -- The Supt. of Public Instruction's quest for the governorship seems to have waned. Too bad. O'Connell is perhaps the best qualified (and liked) of the potential candidates. He'd have some tribal money to make the race interesting too. His commitment to education funding and reform (which, after this budget, may be the front and center issue of the 2010 campaign) gives him a solid base. O'Connell spent much of the past four years going to every Democratic chicken dinner up and down the state, so he has the connections. He'd just have to get over the hurdle of "he can't win" that many have uttered. Gray Davis did it. Why couldn't O'Connell?

Loretta Sanchez -- The fiery Orange County Congresswoman could be double trouble with Latino and female support. She's not exactly known as a policy wonk. But as a political competitor, she's fierce and well-connected. I keep hearing rumors that Sanchez ultimately wants to be Governor. Yeah, sure, it's great to be a Democrat in power in D.C. at the moment, but there's no sign of the Dems losing the House anytime soon. So why not take a shot now?

John Garamendi -- The working man needs a horse in this race. And Lord knows Democrats need someone who can minimize expected losses in the Central Valley. We're so confused about what office he's running for lately, pulling a switcheroo at this juncture could easily be forgiven. Say what you will, Garamendi is a proven vote-getter. It's the campaign cash that's needed that has been the problem.

John Burton -- Why the F:*$% not? Progressives love him and he's one of the few pols that actually could have a good relationship with the Legislature. And he's got the ability to raise some serious cash. The trashing of the poor in this budget no doubt has made his blood boil. I know it's far-fetched, but if Burton jumps in, it would be the most interesting gubernatorial race in a long, long time.

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As the "Anybody But Brown and Newsom" Voices Get Louder, Here Are Some Alternatives

Posted by: HarryOsibin on July 28, 2009

Would that there were viable candidates who are not establishment party members. How can you say the GOP will not nominate another unacceptable doctrinaire "conservative"?

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You said Gavin's coming on like gangbusters ...

Posted by: Bill Bradley on July 28, 2009

Voices?

http://www.camajorityreport.com/index.php?module=articles&func=display&ptid=9&aid=4041#3437

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As the "Anybody But Brown and Newsom" Voices Get Louder, Here Are Some Alternatives

Posted by: doughnut70 on July 28, 2009

Friends have also suggested to Congresswoman Tauscher and Congressman Schiff that they take a look at the race. Tauscher would obviously have to give up her recent arms control appointment, but for the governorship, maybe she would consider it. It is however hard for a member of Congress to make that jump. Just ask Jane Harman.

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Why not the best.

Posted by: david_t on July 29, 2009

Sheila Kuehl would be a welcome addition to the field. No one knows more about the budget, and her obvious substance would force both Brown and Newsom to improve their game to their very best. Of the names you mention, Garamendi would be the most welcome if he would return to the race. The others have issues of various kinds: I assume that if Lockyer really wanted to be governor he would have run before now; Speier, Chick and Sanchez have as many people motivated to stop them as to support them; and O'Connell, though obviously well-prepared, perplexes by waiting so long.

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As the "Anybody But Brown and Newsom" Voices Get Louder, Here Are Some Alternatives

Posted by: Bill Bradley on July 29, 2009

As Steve should know, Lockyer says Brown is the candidate. Garamendi dropped out of the race for good reason (he lost races to Brown's sister Kathleen and Brown's former chief of staff Gray Davis) and will be the next congressman. O'Connell can't raise any money and is too nice. (I remember when he was trying to get Gray Davis to raise money for him.) Sheila Kuehl isn't running and wouldn't have a prayer if she did. Etc., etc., etc. Enough.

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Governor Lockyer?

Posted by: DSmith on July 29, 2009

Lockyer has not endorsed either Brown or Newsom. He merely acknowledged that Brown was the front-runner in terms of name recognition.

In 2005, Lockyer made clear that he wanted to be Governor. He decided not to run the following year because he's not personally wealthy and could not compete financially with the two millionaires (Angelides and Westly) who planned to slug it out in the Primary. Nor did Lockyer feel that Schwarzenegger could be beaten in the General after such a Democratic blood-letting.

Lockyer may well have the best chance of beating the Republican nominee in 2010, but he's not likely to run if he first has to survive a costly and cannibalistic Primary contest.

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Treasurer Lockyer

Posted by: Bill Bradley on July 30, 2009

Oh, Lockyer's statement was a lot stronger than that. He's not going to run for governor, as he would lose the primary, and no other serious candidate will run, either.

Maybe Steve should go back to touting Newsom as he was just two weeks ago.

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Eyes on the Prize

Posted by: DSmith on August 02, 2009

Scintillating gossip about Primary bloodletting, always more fun than the tedious business of winning a General election, helps to lose sight of that ultimate goal.

Steve Magivlio and California Majority Report could perform an invaluable service by starting an ongoing, online discussion of how to elect a Democratic Governor in November 2010, bearing in mind these stark realities:

Eight of the past twelve gubernatorial elections in this Democratic state have been won by Republicans.

Next year, at a time of continuing economic crisis, the overriding concern of the electorate will be fiscal integrity - not simple political "fixes" for a broken budgetary process. This is not an issue tailor-made for liberal-progressive Democratic candidates, colorful personalities notwithstanding, who don't rank high on Maviglio's yardstick of both legislative and executive experience and administrative competence.

Any Republican who sounds convincingly "business-like" and shrewdly moves toward the center on social and environmental issues could defeat either of the remaining Primary "front-runners".

Democratic Party activists and the influential interests groups that traditionally support Democratic candidates need to take an immediate hard look at the dim prospects for taking back the Governor's office with the current contestants, and consider action to insure that, fifteen months from now, the Democrats will field the strongest possible candidate.

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As the "Anybody But Brown and Newsom" Voices Get Louder, Here Are Some Alternatives

Posted by: Bill Bradley on August 03, 2009

Whatever that actually means in the real world.

Which, I can tell you, means getting acclimated to the idea of Governor Jerry Brown.

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Re: Treasurer Lockyer

Posted by: david_t on August 12, 2009

Didn't Lockyer publicly announce that he voted for Schwarzenegger in the special election? That would be a potential dealbreaker in a closed primary.

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